4-2 on the season for +1.9 units
905 San Diego Padres +136
The Mets were 20th in the league in BA against lefties last season and Clayton Richard seemed to be getting better as spring progressed, though he was so bad early spring there was nowhere to go but up. Citi Field has similarities to Petco and Richard was 8-5 with a 3.02 earned run average on a horrible baseball team. He had one start in Citi last year where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings but that was from a pair of unlikely back to back homers for 4 runs in the first inning to two players who won’t be in the lineup Wednesday. He did settle down and pitch 5 scoreless after that and he is a ground-ball pitcher in my estimation.
The combination of Mets batting vs. lefties, his groundball style and the park being similar to his home park where he pitches well seems like a good equation and if the Mets are able to string hits on the ground through the holes to generate runs, then so be it.
Harvey pitched decently for the Mets last year but the Padres batters hit him exceptionally well and Harvey is one of those strikeout pitchers that throws a lot of pitches per inning. I would expect Richard to last longer in this one and an extra inning vs. the pen in this league is often the difference.
On a neutral field, I would actually give the Padres the minus sign for this game but I did make the Mets a small favorite at home --- but this price is too good to not take a shot on the lowly Padres.
There are 3 other baseball plays today, so follow us on Twitter @Game_Analysts and visit us on the web at http://www.gameanalysts.com
905 San Diego Padres +136
The Mets were 20th in the league in BA against lefties last season and Clayton Richard seemed to be getting better as spring progressed, though he was so bad early spring there was nowhere to go but up. Citi Field has similarities to Petco and Richard was 8-5 with a 3.02 earned run average on a horrible baseball team. He had one start in Citi last year where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings but that was from a pair of unlikely back to back homers for 4 runs in the first inning to two players who won’t be in the lineup Wednesday. He did settle down and pitch 5 scoreless after that and he is a ground-ball pitcher in my estimation.
The combination of Mets batting vs. lefties, his groundball style and the park being similar to his home park where he pitches well seems like a good equation and if the Mets are able to string hits on the ground through the holes to generate runs, then so be it.
Harvey pitched decently for the Mets last year but the Padres batters hit him exceptionally well and Harvey is one of those strikeout pitchers that throws a lot of pitches per inning. I would expect Richard to last longer in this one and an extra inning vs. the pen in this league is often the difference.
On a neutral field, I would actually give the Padres the minus sign for this game but I did make the Mets a small favorite at home --- but this price is too good to not take a shot on the lowly Padres.
There are 3 other baseball plays today, so follow us on Twitter @Game_Analysts and visit us on the web at http://www.gameanalysts.com
